Data Science and Story Telling

  • Importance of the stakes. Those who believe the US has important stakes… whether in terms of vital national interests, security interests, or moral, humanitarian interests support military operation.
  • Prospects for success. Those who believe the US will have a successful outcome are more likely to support the military operation.
  • Expected and actual casualties and other costs. Those who expect few casualties are more likely to support the operation. (We’ll get back to this.)
  • Partisan leadership and “followership.” Individuals who are members of the president’s party are more likely to support a president’s use of force than those who are not. Within each party, those most informed are more likely to take the positions of their partisan leaders than those who are less informed.
Importance of UN Authorization to Support for Military Action by Party, March 15–16, 2003

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